Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,249$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(567 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(43.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,210.5}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 37.6)}}\) (asimptote \(2,210.5\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $106$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(20.9 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(31.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{104.1}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 36.2)}}\) (asimptote \(104.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $13$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $46,814$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(3.35 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{50,002.3}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 69.9)}}\) (asimptote \(50,002.3\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,795$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(593 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,679.1}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 46.9)}}\) (asimptote \(4,679.1\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $42,019$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,594$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(2.62 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(51.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,230.2}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 32.0)}}\) (asimptote \(8,230.2\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $239$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(69.1 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(41.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{232.9}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(232.9\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $217$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,040$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(1.13 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,973.0}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 48.4)}}\) (asimptote \(6,973.0\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $324$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(62.5 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{318.9}{1 + 10^{-0.053 (t - 35.4)}}\) (asimptote \(318.9\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $916$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,216$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(2.55 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,897.1}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 41.3)}}\) (asimptote \(11,897.1\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $593$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(147 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{572.8}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 32.6)}}\) (asimptote \(572.8\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $519$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,807$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(654 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(56.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,803.3}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,803.3\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(4.25 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(56.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $59,569$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(1.18 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{57,495.4}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 41.4)}}\) (asimptote \(57,495.4\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,629$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(1.93 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,313.7}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 37.7)}}\) (asimptote \(9,313.7\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $33,548$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $291,588$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(3.46 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{287,955.6}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 52.6)}}\) (asimptote \(287,955.6\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $41,213$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(6.22 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{39,174.2}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 43.7)}}\) (asimptote \(39,174.2\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $249,106$ on 2020-06-10
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $235,763$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(5.33 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(44.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{229,567.0}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 42.6)}}\) (asimptote \(229,567.0\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $34,114$ on 2020-06-10
Best fit exponential: \(6.75 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(40.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,964.1}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 44.8)}}\) (asimptote \(32,964.1\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $31,710$ on 2020-06-10
